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Red99
162224.5
210225.9
423.9
Blue59
332818.8
567820.2
469828.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644902040801001201409959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#15
25.92.7
27.730.4
Auto8.7
Teleop11.4
End5.8
blue by 2.5
4698
#40
28.41.3
20.521.7
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End5.1
Second
24.52.7
13.416.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End7.0
red by 4.4
5678
#43
20.21.3
15.416.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End7.3
Third
4
#30
23.93.0
17.020.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 5.2
18.80.8
11.812.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed