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Red85
248532.9
416016.9
693418.1
Blue105
375920.5
448153.0
513623.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519302040608010012014016085105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.93.0
20.123.1
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End7.7
blue by 20.1
53.01.6
45.447.0
Auto13.5
Teleop31.7
End7.8
Second
6934
#41
18.13.0
18.921.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.4
End3.5
blue by 5.0
5136
#28
23.12.6
17.820.4
Auto10.1
Teleop6.3
End6.6
Third
4160
#42
16.93.0
14.017.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End7.6
blue by 3.6
3759
#38
20.52.6
18.521.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned