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Red118
248532.9
332818.8
448153.0
Blue82
528521.9
351242.4
359824.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9076020406010012014016011882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.4
47.049.3
Auto13.5
Teleop31.7
End7.8
red by 10.6
3512
#13
42.41.0
25.326.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
32.93.9
23.127.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End7.7
red by 8.7
3598
#32
24.21.0
23.724.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
Third
18.82.4
12.615.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End4.8
blue by 3.2
5285
#19
21.91.0
24.125.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed