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Red82
800526.7
388025.1
162224.5
Blue12
853312.8
67647.8
586917.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7444020601001201401608212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#14
26.71.8
26.027.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End7.1
red by 9.0
5869
#16
17.83.7
19.916.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End4.4
Second
3880
#12
25.11.8
21.423.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.9
red by 12.3
8533
#35
12.83.7
15.912.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Third
24.51.1
18.119.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End7.0
red by 16.7
6764
#44
7.83.7
9.35.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed