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Red60
513623.1
59925.7
732715.7
Blue108
351242.4
281331.5
386324.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5882204010012060108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#33
25.70.3
22.222.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End5.8
blue by 16.7
3512
#13
42.43.8
26.330.1
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
5136
#28
23.10.3
20.620.9
Auto10.1
Teleop6.3
End6.6
blue by 8.4
31.53.8
24.828.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Third
7327
#37
15.70.3
14.715.0
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End5.7
blue by 8.8
3863
#20
24.52.3
22.424.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned