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Red46
189129.2
639815.3
732715.7
Blue115
332818.8
441460.1
271026.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57110010015046115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#11
29.21.6
27.726.1
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End7.5
blue by 30.9
60.11.3
54.856.0
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End8.1
Second
7327
#37
15.71.6
15.013.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End5.7
blue by 10.7
2710
#26
26.42.1
26.228.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End6.8
Third
6398
#39
15.31.6
17.716.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End5.4
blue by 3.5
18.81.3
15.316.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned