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Red90
713022.8
513623.1
189129.2
Blue71
732322.9
162224.5
800610.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7957020401001201409071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#11
29.22.0
26.128.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 4.6
24.51.0
20.121.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End7.0
Second
5136
#28
23.12.0
22.424.4
Auto10.1
Teleop6.3
End6.6
red by 0.1
7323
#18
22.91.7
21.323.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End8.6
Third
7130
#27
22.82.0
23.125.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.7
End6.3
red by 12.0
8006
#45
10.81.7
14.716.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned