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Qual 482023 Ventura County Regional
Red125
441460.1
67647.8
639815.3
Blue105
351242.4
760711.0
469828.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86652040100120140125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#1
60.11.2
57.6→58.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End8.1
red by 17.7
3512
#13
42.44.6
35.1→39.7
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
6398
#39
15.32.0
14.9→16.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End5.4
blue by 13.1
4698
#40
28.44.6
18.7→23.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End5.1
Third
6764
#44
7.82.0
5.5→7.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.4
blue by 3.1
7607
#46
11.04.6
9.5→14.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsEarned