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Red80
606023.0
138830.3
853312.8
Blue90
386324.5
448153.0
567820.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641062040801201401608090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.7
30.532.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End8.3
blue by 22.6
53.00.3
50.550.2
Auto13.5
Teleop31.7
End7.8
Second
6060
#24
23.01.7
23.525.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End5.9
blue by 1.5
3863
#20
24.50.3
24.023.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End7.2
Third
8533
#35
12.81.7
11.112.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End2.5
blue by 7.4
5678
#43
20.20.5
20.019.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned