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Red40
713022.8
760711.0
359824.2
Blue75
732715.7
693418.1
375920.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73490204060801001201404075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#32
24.22.6
26.423.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
red by 3.7
3759
#38
20.50.9
18.219.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End7.2
Second
7130
#27
22.82.6
24.622.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.7
End6.3
red by 4.7
6934
#41
18.10.9
17.418.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.4
End3.5
Third
7607
#46
11.02.6
14.211.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End4.1
blue by 4.7
7327
#37
15.70.9
13.614.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed