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Red99
281331.5
271026.4
351242.4
Blue106
469828.4
248532.9
189129.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088940608010012014016099106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#13
42.40.0
42.042.0
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
red by 9.6
32.90.6
31.331.9
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End7.7
Second
31.50.0
31.031.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.3
red by 2.3
1891
#11
29.20.6
27.628.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End7.5
Third
2710
#26
26.40.0
25.925.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End6.8
blue by 2.0
4698
#40
28.40.6
26.827.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End5.1