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Red56
210225.9
138830.3
39924.2
Blue119
281331.5
271026.4
351242.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510905010015056119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.8
31.130.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End8.3
blue by 12.1
3512
#13
42.40.6
42.042.6
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
2102
#15
25.90.6
26.525.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.4
End5.8
blue by 5.6
31.50.6
31.031.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Third
399
#10
24.20.8
25.024.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End5.3
blue by 2.2
2710
#26
26.40.6
25.926.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End6.8