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Red118
162224.5
59925.7
699529.2
Blue101
351242.4
281331.5
271026.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80112050100150118101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#22
29.20.7
29.129.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.4
End5.2
blue by 13.2
3512
#13
42.40.1
42.642.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
599
#33
25.70.7
25.726.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End5.8
blue by 5.8
31.50.1
31.631.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Third
24.50.5
24.525.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End7.0
blue by 1.9
2710
#26
26.40.1
26.526.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End6.8