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Red123
69455.4
546065.9
196737.4
Blue146
473854.7
541947.2
291071.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131172050100150200250300123146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#20
65.91.6
61.259.6
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
blue by 5.9
71.82.3
75.172.8
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
Second
694
#13
55.41.6
52.150.5
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
red by 0.7
4738
#33
54.72.3
58.055.8
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
Third
1967
#39
37.41.6
36.735.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
blue by 9.8
5419
#11
47.22.3
44.542.2
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsMissed99%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned