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Red164
97158.2
603675.1
473854.7
Blue148
35963.4
11460.2
265952.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168151050100200250300350164148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.10.5
71.571.0
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
red by 11.6
359
#15
63.41.2
61.259.9
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
Second
971
#29
58.20.5
52.952.4
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
blue by 2.0
114
#16
60.21.2
54.953.7
Auto11.3
Teleop45.9
End0.5
Third
4738
#33
54.70.5
55.855.3
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
red by 2.7
2659
#35
52.11.2
60.258.9
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsMissed