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Red155
11543.4
176852.3
441471.8
Blue165
69455.4
60459.6
35963.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153152100120140160180155165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.8
68.067.2
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
red by 8.3
359
#15
63.40.3
59.959.7
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
Second
1768
#12
52.30.8
51.350.5
Auto8.0
Teleop41.4
End0.8
blue by 7.3
604
#23
59.60.3
60.760.5
Auto11.2
Teleop45.6
End1.6
Third
115
#41
43.40.8
46.045.2
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End0.3
blue by 12.0
694
#13
55.40.3
50.550.2
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned