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Red124
715756.1
291071.8
265952.1
Blue162
427061.7
97158.2
186851.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160152050100200250124162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.84.0
75.771.7
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
red by 10.0
61.70.8
59.358.5
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9
Second
7157
#31
56.14.0
60.456.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
blue by 2.1
971
#29
58.20.8
56.355.6
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
Third
2659
#35
52.14.0
55.651.6
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
red by 0.8
1868
#34
51.30.8
56.755.9
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed