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Red202
541947.2
207567.5
58162.8
Blue119
425556.9
519960.9
594067.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15016550100200250202119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#10
67.52.2
68.270.3
Auto15.5
Teleop46.9
End1.3
red by 0.3
5940
#30
67.24.2
71.567.3
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
Second
581
#22
62.82.2
57.059.2
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3
red by 2.0
5199
#26
60.94.2
63.659.4
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
Third
5419
#11
47.22.2
45.547.6
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
blue by 9.7
4255
#36
56.94.2
60.856.6
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed