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Red176
167151.3
196737.4
35963.4
Blue207
11460.2
427061.7
353851.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11314750100200176207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
63.42.6
59.361.9
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
red by 1.7
61.72.4
58.561.0
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9
Second
1671
#27
51.32.6
45.247.8
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
blue by 8.9
114
#16
60.22.4
55.658.0
Auto11.3
Teleop45.9
End0.5
Third
1967
#39
37.42.6
33.736.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
blue by 14.5
3538
#21
51.92.4
49.451.8
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned