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Red177
366354.7
603675.1
364750.6
Blue169
196737.4
167884.2
186851.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144144110120130140150160170180177169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.10.2
73.673.8
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
84.20.0
83.983.9
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
Second
3663
#25
54.70.2
53.653.8
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
red by 3.4
1868
#34
51.30.0
54.354.3
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End1.5
Third
3647
#38
50.60.2
49.649.8
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End-0.2
red by 13.1
1967
#39
37.40.0
36.336.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned