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Red147
425556.9
347667.9
541947.2
Blue175
60459.6
353851.9
603675.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182181150160170190200210147175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.91.9
65.463.5
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
blue by 7.2
75.10.1
73.673.7
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
Second
4255
#36
56.91.9
62.961.1
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
blue by 2.7
604
#23
59.60.1
62.762.7
Auto11.2
Teleop45.6
End1.6
Third
5419
#11
47.21.9
45.944.0
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
blue by 4.7
3538
#21
51.90.1
42.442.4
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned