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Red233
25484.1
519960.9
167884.2
Blue168
594067.2
204667.1
603675.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173167140160180200220233168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.20.2
84.184.3
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 9.1
75.10.7
76.575.9
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
Second
254
#3
84.10.2
84.084.2
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 16.9
5940
#30
67.20.7
68.768.0
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
Third
5199
#26
60.90.2
60.861.0
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
blue by 6.2
2046
#19
67.10.7
68.567.9
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5