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Red116
108627.7
44950.0
189531.0
Blue88
126221.1
872630.2
253734.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159240608010014016018011688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#16
50.00.1
48.248.3
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
red by 15.9
2537
#41
34.12.0
36.034.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.5
End7.8
Second
1895
#40DQ
31.00.1
29.429.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.9
End6.3
red by 0.8
8726
#46
30.22.0
31.529.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Third
1086
#54
27.70.1
27.527.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End6.9
red by 6.6
1262
#59
21.12.0
21.619.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed