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Red166
40158.5
445636.9
859260.4
Blue125
62345.1
313640.9
111140.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158128100200166125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.1
57.158.3
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 15.4
623
#22
45.10.1
43.743.8
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3
Second
401
#6
58.51.1
56.557.7
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
red by 17.6
3136
#39
40.90.1
41.641.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Third
4456
#27
36.91.1
36.637.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.3
blue by 3.4
1111
#15
40.30.1
38.538.6
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned