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Red140
777027.6
190839.4
680249.1
Blue124
823038.5
97730.8
219951.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115130050100150200250140124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.12.0
46.948.9
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
blue by 2.7
2199
#24
51.70.4
50.149.7
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
Second
1908
#29
39.42.0
37.439.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.5
End7.9
red by 0.9
8230
#36
38.50.4
39.038.5
Auto14.1
Teleop17.9
End6.6
Third
7770
#43
27.62.0
25.627.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End4.6
blue by 3.1
977
#48
30.80.4
31.230.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned