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Red92
237733.0
61440.2
511535.4
Blue131
907224.0
686329.6
42255.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122112608010014016092131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#26
40.21.4
41.640.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9
blue by 15.4
422
#11
55.61.0
54.555.5
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
Second
5115
#47
35.41.4
36.835.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.6
red by 5.9
6863
#21
29.61.0
28.629.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End6.8
Third
2377
#35
33.01.4
34.333.0
Auto12.3
Teleop13.9
End6.8
red by 9.0
9072
#56
24.01.0
23.024.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned