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Red140
445636.9
88841.7
44950.0
Blue124
61231.5
61134.9
138938.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208750100150200140124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#16
50.01.8
41.443.1
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
red by 11.1
1389
#44
38.92.2
30.732.9
Auto13.3
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
888
#33
41.71.8
33.835.6
Auto13.3
Teleop20.5
End8.0
red by 6.9
611
#50
34.92.2
25.327.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End5.2
Third
4456
#27
36.91.8
33.435.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.3
red by 5.3
612
#42
31.52.2
29.531.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned