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Red128
572446.2
159947.7
533841.5
Blue131
511535.4
108627.7
141840.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13779050100150200128131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#10
47.70.4
47.347.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
red by 7.2
1418
#13
40.62.5
28.931.4
Auto13.3
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
5724
#18
46.20.4
37.437.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
red by 10.7
5115
#47
35.42.5
32.835.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.6
Third
5338
#55
41.50.4
37.838.3
Auto7.9
Teleop28.2
End5.4
red by 13.8
1086
#54
27.72.5
19.422.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed