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Red145
62345.1
162949.7
34643.9
Blue129
409946.9
313640.9
83650.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612550100150200145129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#12
49.71.5
43.444.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
blue by 0.5
836
#31
50.10.8
41.442.2
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Second
623
#22
45.11.5
33.735.2
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3
blue by 1.8
4099
#23
46.90.8
40.441.1
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
Third
346
#34
43.91.5
41.042.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1
red by 3.1
3136
#39
40.90.8
35.736.4
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsMissed