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Red174
859260.4
189531.0
236365.3
Blue121
680249.1
173160.3
237733.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15312550100200174121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.32.3
62.364.5
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
red by 5.0
60.30.0
52.252.3
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
Second
60.42.3
52.955.2
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 11.4
49.10.0
42.042.0
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
Third
1895
#40
31.02.3
27.629.9
Auto9.9
Teleop14.9
End6.3
blue by 2.0
2377
#35
33.00.0
29.729.7
Auto12.3
Teleop13.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned