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Red124
172765.9
161037.9
111140.3
Blue112
236365.3
126221.1
190839.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361276080100160180200124112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.2
58.958.7
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
red by 0.6
65.30.6
64.564.0
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
Second
1111
#15
40.30.2
37.237.0
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
red by 0.9
1908
#29
39.40.6
36.235.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Third
1610
#14
37.90.2
33.633.4
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
red by 16.7
1262
#59
21.10.6
19.819.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsMissed