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Red133
393938.5
511535.4
112352.4
Blue129
173160.3
190839.4
445636.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125132100110120140150160170133129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.41.0
48.149.1
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
blue by 8.0
60.30.4
53.253.7
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
Second
3939
#32
38.51.0
34.435.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End5.9
blue by 0.9
1908
#29
39.40.4
35.736.1
Auto11.8
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Third
5115
#47
35.41.0
36.837.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.6
blue by 1.4
4456
#27
36.90.4
37.337.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned