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Red92
61134.9
68644.7
108627.7
Blue135
823038.5
42255.6
189531.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971295015020092135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#37
44.70.2
42.442.2
Auto13.1
Teleop23.8
End7.1
blue by 11.0
422
#11
55.60.9
49.450.3
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
Second
611
#50
34.90.2
27.126.9
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End5.2
blue by 3.7
8230
#36
38.50.9
35.736.6
Auto14.1
Teleop17.9
End6.6
Third
1086
#54
27.70.2
25.225.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End6.9
blue by 3.3
1895
#40
31.00.9
32.032.8
Auto9.9
Teleop14.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned