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Red145
409946.9
111140.3
202845.4
Blue116
44950.0
61231.5
511535.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112450100150200250145116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#23
46.91.7
40.842.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
blue by 3.1
449
#16
50.00.0
44.244.2
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
Second
2028
#17
45.41.7
35.737.5
Auto11.0
Teleop25.2
End8.6
red by 9.9
5115
#47
35.40.0
37.837.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.6
Third
1111
#15
40.31.7
37.739.4
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
red by 8.7
612
#42
31.50.0
34.334.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed