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Red113
138938.9
219951.7
34643.9
Blue135
447248.1
112352.4
161037.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133134115120125130140145113135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#24
51.70.8
48.547.7
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
blue by 0.6
52.40.6
49.149.7
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
Second
346
#34
43.90.8
41.340.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1
blue by 4.1
4472
#19
48.10.6
46.246.9
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End7.6
Third
1389
#44
38.90.8
35.434.6
Auto13.3
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 1.1
1610
#14
37.90.6
33.033.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned