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Red113
61440.2
903329.2
393938.5
Blue157
40158.5
409946.9
159947.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10016250150200250113157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#26
40.20.8
37.838.6
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9
blue by 18.2
401
#6
58.50.9
55.656.5
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
Second
3939
#32
38.50.8
37.738.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End5.9
blue by 9.3
1599
#10
47.70.9
50.251.1
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Third
9033
#49
29.20.8
25.826.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End4.0
blue by 17.7
4099
#23
46.90.9
42.543.3
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned