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Red114
558724.1
242130.6
237733.0
Blue148
61231.5
172765.9
219951.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64160050100200250114148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#35
33.02.4
31.534.0
Auto12.3
Teleop13.9
End6.8
blue by 32.9
65.90.3
59.559.9
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
Second
2421
#51
30.62.4
25.227.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.6
End8.6
blue by 21.2
2199
#24
51.70.3
47.748.1
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
Third
5587
#60
24.12.4
15.618.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End5.6
blue by 7.5
612
#42
31.50.3
34.334.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned