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Red184
162949.7
42255.6
173160.3
Blue137
253734.1
533841.5
823038.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16211550100150200184137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.32.5
54.957.4
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
red by 18.8
5338
#55
41.51.2
41.142.3
Auto7.9
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Second
422
#11
55.62.5
51.353.8
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
red by 17.1
8230
#36
38.51.2
37.438.7
Auto14.1
Teleop17.9
End6.6
Third
1629
#12
49.72.5
45.948.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
red by 15.6
2537
#41
34.11.2
34.936.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned