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Red136
12238.7
313640.9
173160.3
Blue112
68644.7
210645.0
97730.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431186080100160180200220136112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.3
57.457.7
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
red by 15.3
2106
#20
45.00.1
39.739.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
Second
3136
#39
40.90.3
40.440.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
blue by 3.8
686
#37
44.70.1
44.944.8
Auto13.1
Teleop23.8
End7.1
Third
122
#28
38.70.3
34.334.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.7
End7.4
red by 7.9
977
#48
30.80.1
28.928.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned