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Red137
862218.2
447248.1
42255.6
Blue127
44950.0
572446.2
777027.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121129050100150200250137127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#11
55.60.2
51.951.7
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
red by 5.6
449
#16
50.00.5
47.848.2
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
Second
4472
#19
48.10.2
48.348.1
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End7.6
red by 1.9
5724
#18
46.20.5
44.845.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
Third
8622
#53
18.20.2
14.714.5
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End4.3
blue by 9.5
7770
#43
27.60.5
27.127.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned