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Red209
132383.3
409647.6
441469.0
Blue208
546065.6
12567.9
87058.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20019150100150250300350209208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
Unranked
83.30.3
83.083.3
Auto20.9
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 15.4
125
Unranked
67.90.4
67.567.9
Auto17.1
Teleop37.9
End11.0
Second
4414
Unranked
69.00.3
68.669.0
Auto14.4
Teleop45.7
End8.1
red by 3.3
5460
Unranked
65.60.4
65.365.6
Auto14.1
Teleop42.3
End7.4
Third
4096
Unranked
47.60.3
47.247.6
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.5
blue by 11.3
870
Unranked
58.90.4
58.558.9
Auto14.2
Teleop34.6
End9.4