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Red200
132383.3
260948.2
441469.0
Blue189
632977.5
14866.5
81856.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200200170180190210220230200189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
Unranked
83.30.1
82.482.5
Auto20.9
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 5.8
6329
Unranked
77.50.0
77.777.7
Auto17.4
Teleop46.2
End10.4
Second
4414
Unranked
69.00.1
68.068.2
Auto14.4
Teleop45.7
End8.1
red by 2.5
148
Unranked
66.50.0
66.766.7
Auto12.4
Teleop42.3
End9.6
Third
2609
Unranked
48.20.1
48.148.2
Auto13.3
Teleop27.2
End7.5
blue by 8.3
818
Unranked
56.50.0
56.856.7
Auto15.7
Teleop31.6
End7.1