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Red181
81856.5
14866.5
632977.5
Blue203
546065.6
12567.9
87058.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199194100150250300181203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
Unranked
77.50.2
77.777.5
Auto17.4
Teleop46.2
End10.4
red by 9.6
125
Unranked
67.90.3
68.368.6
Auto17.1
Teleop37.9
End11.0
Second
148
Unranked
66.50.2
66.766.5
Auto12.4
Teleop42.3
End9.6
red by 0.8
5460
Unranked
65.60.3
66.066.3
Auto14.1
Teleop42.3
End7.4
Third
818
Unranked
56.50.2
56.756.5
Auto15.7
Teleop31.6
End7.1
blue by 2.4
870
Unranked
58.90.3
59.259.6
Auto14.2
Teleop34.6
End9.4