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Red187
68758.9
632860.3
97263.5
Blue189
318459.6
174658.0
580459.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183177120140160200220240187189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
Unranked
63.51.4
62.163.5
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End8.5
red by 3.9
3184
Unranked
59.60.5
59.760.2
Auto15.1
Teleop35.5
End6.5
Second
6328
Unranked
60.31.4
58.960.3
Auto21.5
Teleop30.6
End5.8
red by 1.1
5804
Unranked
59.20.5
58.759.2
Auto15.0
Teleop33.6
End8.5
Third
687
Unranked
58.90.3
58.658.9
Auto13.8
Teleop35.7
End8.3
red by 0.9
1746
Unranked
58.00.5
58.158.6
Auto12.8
Teleop35.6
End8.9