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Red166
808556.8
632860.3
97263.5
Blue176
167878.3
46162.0
5957.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174201100150250166176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
Unranked
63.50.1
62.262.1
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End8.5
blue by 14.8
1678
Unranked
78.30.0
78.578.5
Auto18.5
Teleop43.5
End11.8
Second
6328
Unranked
60.30.1
59.058.9
Auto21.5
Teleop30.6
End5.8
blue by 1.7
461
Unranked
62.00.0
61.761.7
Auto14.3
Teleop37.3
End7.2
Third
8085
Unranked
56.80.1
56.956.8
Auto11.2
Teleop35.5
End8.5
blue by 0.8
59
Unranked
57.70.3
57.957.7
Auto11.4
Teleop37.0
End8.8