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Red149
432949.8
174658.0
318459.6
Blue174
441469.0
409647.6
132383.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173204100150250149174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
Unranked
59.60.8
60.259.4
Auto15.1
Teleop35.5
End6.5
blue by 23.7
1323
Unranked
83.30.1
82.282.4
Auto20.9
Teleop51.3
End9.5
Second
1746
Unranked
58.00.8
58.657.8
Auto12.8
Teleop35.6
End8.9
blue by 11.0
4414
Unranked
69.00.1
67.968.0
Auto14.4
Teleop45.7
End8.1
Third
4329
Unranked
49.80.8
50.449.6
Auto13.7
Teleop26.9
End9.5
red by 2.2
4096
Unranked
47.60.1
46.646.8
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.5