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Red178
432949.8
174658.0
318459.6
Blue203
207570.5
97367.7
460760.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170199100120140160180220240260178203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
Unranked
59.60.2
59.459.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.5
End6.5
blue by 10.9
2075
Unranked
70.50.3
70.070.3
Auto16.6
Teleop41.0
End9.6
Second
1746
Unranked
58.00.2
57.858.0
Auto12.8
Teleop35.6
End8.9
blue by 9.7
973
Unranked
67.70.3
67.267.5
Auto15.4
Teleop42.7
End8.3
Third
4329
Unranked
49.80.2
49.649.8
Auto13.7
Teleop26.9
End9.5
blue by 10.6
4607
Unranked
60.30.3
59.860.2
Auto13.1
Teleop36.4
End9.8