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Red104
821432.8
694129.3
728017.5
Blue52
648717.5
635314.1
752917.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9146010015020010452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8214
Unranked
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3
red by 15.3
6487
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Second
6941
Unranked
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto13.2
Teleop11.1
End5.1
red by 12.1
7529
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Third
7280
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 3.4
6353
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End4.5