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Red38
639916.7
551517.7
697017.3
Blue88
573716.9
704717.5
821432.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527501001502002503888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.7
blue by 15.1
8214
Unranked
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Second
6970
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End4.6
blue by 0.2
7047
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Third
6399
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 0.2
5737
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability odds12%Sustainability odds
Activation
37%Activation odds34%Activation odds