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Red70
704717.5
648717.5
697017.3
Blue12
516516.7
881116.7
639916.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565302040801001201407012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7047
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 0.8
5165
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Second
6487
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 0.8
6399
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Third
6970
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End4.6
red by 0.6
8811
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability odds4%Sustainability odds
Activation
38%Activation odds36%Activation odds